KISER:財団法人関西社会経済研究所

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  1. Paciffic Economic Outlook

Economic Trends

Quarterly Reports

Economic Forecast for Japan (as of August 24, 2011)
  2010 2011 2012
Acrual Forecast Forecast
Real GDP (%) 2.3 0.9 1.8
  Private demand * 1.4 0.2 1.1
  Final consumption expenditure (%) 0.8 ▲ 0.4 0.2
Residential
investment (%)
▲ 0.3 0.6 5.0
Nonresidential investment (%) 4.2 1.5 6.7
Change in private inventory * 0.5 0.2 ▲ 0.1
Public demand * 0.0 1.5 0.1
  Final consumption expenditure (%) 2.2 5.2 1.7
Public investment (%) ▲ 10.0 13.9 ▲ 5.2
Change in public inventory * 0.0 0.0 0.0
Foreign demand * 0.9 ▲ 0.8 0.6
  Exports (%) 17.0 ▲ 0.8 6.0
  Imports (%) 11.0 6.0 2.6
Nominal GDP (%) 0.4 ▲ 1.1 1.7
GDP Deflater (%) ▲ 1.9 ▲ 1.9 ▲ 0.1
 
CGPI (%) 0.7 2.0 0.2
Core CPI (%) ▲ 0.8 0.4 0.0
Industrial production index (%) 9.0 1.6 6.8
New privately-owned housing units started (%) 5.5 0.9 7.1
Jobless rate (%) 5.0 4.6 4.5
 
Current balance (Trillion Yen) 15.9 8.8 11.0
  vs nominal GDP (%) 3.3 1.9 2.3
Oil price (US$/Barrel) 84.7 97.1 103.8
Exchange rate (Yen/US$) 85.7 79.4 83.7
The US real GDP (CY) 3.0 1.6 1.9


Note:
(1)▲=negative numbers
(2) * =contribution rate

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